On the GFC backtest under sealed physics, Watch and Act both lit dual Crisis by March 2008 — 6 months before Lehman. That run is blind and period-correct — each month scored only on data available at the time, with no lookahead into Lehman or later prints. We have re-run that blind reconstruction more times than we can count; the dual Watch/Act clock holds. It is a deterministic historical replay — not a marketing anecdote. We sell the instrument and that proof record — not a promise that every future crisis will print the same lead time.

Watch is the earliest Crisis signal of any fashion — surface it to the office; do not allocate on Watch alone. Act is dual Crisis: thermodynamic load and entropy gap together — the capital decision clock. Same sealed physics on the live Index and the case studies. That distinction is the product language, not a dashboard decoration.

No. The Index measures systemic stress. Physics are sealed. Inputs are source-traced and point-in-time. Outputs are monthly scores, regimes, Watch/Act clocks, and authored work against those scores. Historical backtests show when stress was already elevated before markets priced it — they are not a productized forecast with Brier scores or “call the next crisis” language.

VIX and spreads are market fear and credit pricing — useful, late. Ratings and narrative geo briefs are lagging or qualitative. The Index scores structural stress across six domains on countries, corridors, sectors, and markets before that stress is fully priced — with explicit Watch vs Act so the desk knows what to surface versus what to act on. Same desk can still run VIX; this is the structural layer those tools do not give you.

No. Domain inputs are evidence-tiered and source-traced. Scoring is deterministic under sealed physics (edition 1.19.0) — same inputs, same output. AI gathers and structures evidence into that formula; it does not invent the score. Methodology and the GFC case study are public before you buy.

If you need continuous scores and Watch/Act on systems you watch for the office, license the World Index (Door A). If you need one organization scored and a written plan, commission an Internal Index (Door B). Same Index physics — different job (sealed engagement vs live desk).

A firm license to the live World Index: scores and Watch/Act clocks on a scoped watchlist, alerts when regime shifts, monthly written reports, named users included. Universe is countries, corridors, sectors, and markets — not an unlimited scrape of every company on earth. Analyst access and Travis time can attach after; they are not required to start.

No — that is Door B. Internal Index is a scoped engagement on a named organization: instrument score, six domains, insecurity gap, Threat Validation Gate, cascade when flagged, then a ten-section plan (horizon analysis, 90-day actions, risk register) plus a Day-90 Checkpoint (plan review — not a re-score). Refresh re-instruments when structure changes. Public-data engagement; internal financials only if you provide them. Continuous World Index licensing is separate if you also watch markets.

The complimentary brief is a teaser Index read on a monitored catalog system. Real score, limited depth — enough to feel the instrument. It is not a company Internal Index, not a full domain pack, and not a firm watchlist. Full desk depth ships with the World Index; organizational work ships with Door B.

Yes — common path for operators. Internal Index proves the instrument on your entity; the World Index puts ongoing scores and Watch/Act on the desk for geographies and corridors you watch. We will not force both in the first conversation.

World Index floor is public (From $50K/yr · firm). Internal Index is Quoted after Approve · engagement. Exact price unlocks after we Approve your application — watchlist size or entity, named users, cadence, pack. No founding-rate theater, no per-seat SaaS ladder.

World Index: workspace and watchlist scoping first; live scores and the reporting cadence start once access is released — usually within a business day of funds clear, then monthly written rhythm. Internal Index: scoped engagement; you leave with a ten-section readout and a Day-90 Checkpoint on the calendar. Exact timeline depends on entity scope — set when price unlocks.

Nobody, if you Get started. Someone who owns the decision should be on the application — CIO / IC lead for World Index; strategy / risk / PE ops / venture GP for Internal Index. Prefer a conversation? Book an intro. We do not need a fifteen-person demo.

Keep them. Those tools price markets, narratives, and credit opinions. The Index is the structural stress layer upstream of that pricing — Watch to surface, Act to decide. Buyers who already pay for geo/macro intel are the core ICP — we are not asking you to rip out the stack.

Not a self-serve company scraper. Not portfolio, legal, or site-selection advice from the score alone. Not Mode C internal research as a product. Not Hermes-as-SKU. Not a cheap retail SKU. You are buying either a World Index firm license or an Internal Index engagement — exact price after Approve.

Get started. Choose a door, firm, and scope in three short steps. We Approve, unlock price, you sign and pay (Stripe or wire). Prefer a conversation? Book an intro. Prefer to feel the instrument first? Run a complimentary brief on a catalog system.