Historical Record

Western Roman Empire

Civilization/100 — 476/5 periods

HISTORICAL RECORD

The longest documented civilization-scale collapse in the Western tradition — from high empire stability through third-century crisis to final fragmentation.

Egypt — Arab Spring

Nation-State/2008 — 2014/4 periods

REAL-TIME DATA

Nation-state fracture and partial restoration during the Arab Spring — revolutionary stress, institutional courage deficit, and military restoration.

Dot-com Collapse

Organization/1997 — 2003/5 periods

REAL-TIME DATA

Speculative cognitive collapse. Mind domain stress crossed crisis threshold at Peak Denial — two months before the NASDAQ composite peak of March 2000.

Weimar Republic

Civilization/1919 — 1933/5 periods

The most documented institutional collapse in modern history. A democratic system with functioning infrastructure destroyed from within by compounding domain failures — economic catastrophe, identity fragmentation, and a total courage deficit that allowed the preventable to become inevitable.

European Sovereign Debt Crisis

Civilization/2007 — 2015/5 periods

REAL-TIME DATA

A monetary union without fiscal union — the structural contradiction that made crisis inevitable. The framework measured institutional coherence failure years before markets priced sovereign default risk into peripheral European debt.

SVB Banking Stress 2023

Organization/2022 — 2024/5 periods

REAL-TIME DATA

Regional banking fragility under rapid rate hikes — Silicon Valley Bank's failure exposed duration risk, depositor flight, and the gap between Fed confidence and institutional adaptive capacity.

COVID Systemic Shock

Civilization/2019 — 2021/5 periods

REAL-TIME DATA

Exogenous shock test on the global system — did structural fragility precede the pandemic? Measures whether NII registered systemic weakness before lockdowns and the fastest bear market in history.

Ukraine — Russia Invasion

Nation-State/2021 — 2025/5 periods

REAL-TIME DATA

Energy supply weaponization and nation-state fracture — Body and Identity domains elevated into the largest European land war since WWII, with global commodity and security spillovers.