Sealed stress before the break.
We measure systemic stress before crisis is obvious. These pages replay known regime breaks under the same V5-locked physics the live Index runs — Watch for notice, Act when dual Crisis matters for capital.
Engine: V5-locked (1.19.0).
Our Index hit Crisis mode 6 months before Lehman collapsed.
March 2008. VIX and credit spreads still looked orderly.
Dual Watch and Act · 6 months before the Lehman filing as calendar anchor · Banner proof.
Index vs desks
Nine sealed clocks.
Gates, doctrine, and diagnostics on the homepage strip — scored on the same freeze as GFC, not ranked against it.
Oil Price Spike
Index hit Crisis mode 29 months before Jul 3, 2008
Watch-class · energy gate
Read caseGlobal Chip Shortage
Index hit Crisis mode 19 months before the auto-production trough
Watch-class · supply chain gate
Read caseOil Price Crash
Index hit Crisis mode 17 months before Feb 11, 2016
Producer-state · energy gate
Read caseArgentina 2001 Default
Index hit Crisis mode 17 months before Dec 1, 2001
Watch-class · insurance / PRI / counsel
Read caseGlobal Food Crisis
Index hit Crisis mode 15 months before the FAO peak
Watch-class · agriculture gate
Read caseGreece Sov. Crisis
Index hit Crisis mode 8 months before May 2, 2010
Diagnostic · bailout → PSI
Read caseTurkey Lira Break
Index hit Crisis mode 7 months before Aug 10, 2018
Non-US · currency break
Read caseDotcom crash
Index hit Crisis mode 2 months before Mar 10, 2000
US · equity cycle
Read caseRussia 2022 Invasion
Index hit Crisis mode 1 month before Feb 24, 2022
Diagnostic · Mind / war path
Read case
Need the diligence spine — sources, claim ceiling, and how to walk a sealed pack with a desk?
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