Regime
A reproducible national score
Six-domain phase classification on nations and institutions — comparable across allies and adversaries alike.
Government playbook
For policy, national security, and resilience teams — six-domain thermodynamic profiles on nations and institutions with phase classification months before conventional political indicators move.
Intelligence tracks events.
Entropy builds across institutions first.
Same inputs, same output. AI may structure evidence; it never scores.
What it means for you
You get a reproducible, interagency-defensible read on institutional stress months before it's a headline.
The payoff
Regime
Six-domain phase classification on nations and institutions — comparable across allies and adversaries alike.
Lead
Identity and Perceived domain deterioration flagged before political risk indices and ratings confirm it.
Audit
Deterministic scores with SVET tiers — built to withstand oversight and audit, not just brief well.
See it on a system that matters to government— then Book an intro.
The gap
Vast intelligence capabilities still produce surprise upheavals because conventional analysis tracks narratives, elections, and incidents — not structural entropy building across identity, adaptation, and courage domains.
Political risk indices
Event-driven and subjective. Downgrades arrive after instability is visible — confirmation, not lead time.
National security briefings
Threat-centric, not thermodynamic. Miss slow-burn institutional bandwidth depletion.
Economic dashboards
Financial variables without identity fragmentation or perceived vs. structural insecurity gap.
What the Index reads
Same six-domain instrument. For government, these are the reads that change the decision.
Identity
Institutional legitimacy and cohesion — fragments before political stability indicators move.
Adaptation
Policy and institutional bandwidth to absorb shocks without emergency measures.
Courage
Leadership willingness to reform or reset ahead of forced crisis response.
In practice
01
National resilience monitoring
Score nation-states on six domains — alert when NII crosses phase boundaries relevant to policy planning horizons.
02
Institutional stability assessment
Track government agencies and critical institutions as adaptive systems — adaptation and courage domains flag bandwidth limits early.
03
Policy scenario evaluation
Stress-test policy options against thermodynamic profiles — not static econometric models alone.
04
Alliance and partner nation watch
Comparable framework across allied and partner states — reproducible methodology for interagency coordination.
How you run it
01
Primary nations, regions, and critical institutions aligned to policy mandate.
02
Signal reports classify regime and domain deterioration — alerts on phase crossings.
03
Board-ready thermodynamic profiles with evidence trace — Travis briefing for policy principals.
04
Deterministic scores with SVET tiers — defensible under oversight and audit.
Why trust it
The GFC backtest scored Perceived Insecurity and Identity elevated while sovereign ratings and conventional stability tools still read contained — institutional legitimacy stress building before the political and market crisis.
Built for policy, resilience, and national security teams — nation-state and institutional scoring on one framework.
9
Months of lead time
78
Perceived (elevated) /100
58
Identity (elevated) /100
6
Thermodynamic domains
Try it
Pick a system you already watch. Get a structured brief — score, domains, phase, evidence — not a chat essay.
01
US institutional resilience
structural horizon
02
Middle East regional entropy
medium horizon
03
NATO alliance partner stability
medium horizon
What ships
Concrete deliverables for government — not a content subscription.
Live readout
NII readings, six-domain breakdown, phase classification, and momentum — updated on calculation date.
Weekly signal reports
Regime classification, domain deterioration, and cross-entity stress — investment committee scannable.
Alert bulletins
Notifications when NII crosses phase boundaries or domain stress accelerates on watchlist entities.
Monthly flagship report
Full thermodynamic profile, narrative analysis, and evidence trace — board-ready PDF on calculation date.
At Analyst+
Custom watchlist
Nation-states, sectors, or counterparties scoped to your mandate — scored on the same framework.
Quarterly Travis briefing
Direct framework walkthrough with Dr. Hanes — anchor briefings for investment committee prep.
Straight answers
Is this open-source intelligence replacement?
No. The Index complements existing intelligence with reproducible thermodynamic scoring — structure vs. perception, not event prediction.
Can scores be shared across agencies?
Deliverables support controlled distribution — PDF, dashboard, and API outputs with evidence tiers for interagency use.
Six domains. Structural stress. Early-warning clocks. The physics do not change — only the entity you score. Built for government workflows.
A
Family offices, funds, and allocator desks put the live World Index on a watchlist of countries, corridors, sectors, and markets — scores, Watch and Act clocks, alerts, and monthly reports on sealed physics while markets still read calm.
Next step
Put nation-states and institutions on a firm license — live scores, alerts, and committee-ready reports. Named users included. Get started — or book an intro to scope.