Brief
A structural read, not a legal opinion
Six-domain scoring on nations, corridors, and counterparties — evidence-tiered material for matter memos and client committees.
Legal and regulatory playbook
Score the jurisdiction
before the enforcement memo.
For sanctions counsel, sovereign disputes, and general counsel teams — six-domain reads on nations, corridors, and counterparties. Not legal advice. Not case-outcome odds.
Sanctions lists and legal research describe what already happened.
Structural insecurity builds before the enforcement action.
Same inputs, same output. Zero AI touching the engine — it never scores.
What it means for you
You brief clients and committees on structural stress months before the legal event — with evidence tiers that survive partner review.
Open the public desk noteThe payoff
What you leave with.
Lead
Lead time before the legal event
Stress flagged months before default, corralito, FX break, or enforcement wave — time to restructure exposure or escalate advice.
Evidence
Partner-review defensible
Source-traced, sealed clocks — built to survive diligence, not just brief well in the conference room.
See it on a system that matters to legal & regulatory— then Book an intro.
The gap
Your stack tracks rules and events, not structural load
Sanctions databases, case law research, and political-risk indices excel at what is already on the record. None measure six-domain stress in a sovereign or corridor system before capital controls, default, expropriation, or enforcement waves land on the matter.
Sanctions and watchlist feeds
Entity and list updates after designation — not a read on jurisdictional bandwidth building toward the next action.
Legal research platforms
Statutes, cases, and memos — not thermodynamic stress on the state or counterparty system behind the dispute.
Political risk indices
Opaque composites — hard to defend in a partner memo or client committee without reproducible domain scores.
What the Index reads
The lenses that matter on your desk.
Same six-domain instrument. For legal & regulatory, these are the reads that change the decision.
Identity
Rule-of-law load, license and enforcement patterns — fragmentation before expropriation or repudiation risk.
Courage
State willingness to honor contracts, maintain convertibility, and enforce judgments under pressure.
Perceived
Market and legal narrative vs structural stress — where miscalculation and rush-to-enforcement risk concentrate.
Adaptation
Bandwidth to absorb shock without emergency decrees, capital controls, or treaty exit.
Mind
Policy rhetoric, sanctions signaling, and regulatory noise load — information stress on counsel.
Body
Fiscal, FX, and trade-flow fundamentals — what loss models and legal memos price late.
In practice
Where it lands in your work.
01
Sanctions and export-controls advisory
Score producer states, transit corridors, and counterparty jurisdictions on six domains — structural lead before the OFAC notice or license denial.
02
Sovereign disputes and restructuring
Thermodynamic profile on the state system behind the claim — stress before default, corralito, or capital controls, not who wins the case.
03
Cross-border M&A and deal counsel
Pair World Index watchlists on deal geographies with Door B Counsel / M&A diligence pack on the named target — structure before exclusivity.
04
Corporate GC footprint monitoring
Watchlist operating jurisdictions for Identity and enforcement load — beside compliance calendars, not instead of outside counsel.
How you run it
Counsel and regulatory workflow
01
Scope matter geographies and counterparties
Nations, corridors, and named counterparty systems aligned to the active matter or client footprint.
02
Weekly structural scan
Weekly signals flag structural deterioration across domains. Alerts fire when stress crosses a band boundary.
03
Monthly flagship for principals
Partner- and committee-ready profiles with evidence trace — Travis briefing for client-facing escalation.
04
Seal the matter or target when needed
Counsel / M&A diligence pack on a named entity, or Counterparty Pack on a single-source node — Door B when the company matters more than the country average.
Why trust it
Structural stress before the sovereign break
Headlines and conventional gauges still looked calm while structure was already under stress. On the sealed Argentina 2001 replay, the entropy gap crossed Crisis in July 2000 — seventeen months before the December 2001 corralito and sovereign default. Policy-stress Mind registered while conventional legal and ratings narratives still read contained. Dual Act before the break is not claimed — disclosed, not retuned.
V5-locked PIT ledger — same frozen physics as Insurance / PRI gate. Matter-memo framing: stress before the legal event, not case-outcome prediction.
17
Months before corralito
Jul 2000
Early stress flag month
Dec 2001
Corralito / default
Early stress
PRI early-stress tier
Second lock
Dual FX lock — Turkey 2018
On the sealed Turkey 2018 replay, load and unpriced stress both elevated seven months before the August 10 2018 lira break. Same frozen physics — the FX and capital-controls second lock for cross-border counsel.
V5-locked PIT ledger — contemporaneous_lag_0_2 dual gate. Dual lead of August FX news is not claimed until earned under the sealed news barometer.
7
Months before lira break
Jan 2018
Load + gap both elevated
Aug 10 2018
Lira break
FX lock
Second sealed lock
Try it
Jurisdictional and sovereign stress scored before enforcement, default, or capital controls — not case-outcome odds.
Pick a system you already watch. Get a structured brief — score, domains, phase, evidence — not a chat essay.
01
Cross-border sanctions portfolio
medium horizon
02
Argentina sovereign restructuring context
medium horizon
03
Hormuz corridor sanctions exposure
near horizon
What ships
What lands on your desk.
Concrete deliverables for legal & regulatory — not a content subscription.
Live readout
NII readings, six-domain breakdown, phase classification, and momentum — updated on calculation date.
Weekly signal reports
Regime classification, domain deterioration, and cross-entity stress — investment committee scannable.
Alert bulletins
Notifications when NII crosses phase boundaries or domain stress accelerates on watchlist entities.
Monthly flagship report
Full thermodynamic profile, narrative analysis, and evidence trace — board-ready PDF on calculation date.
Ask
Ask AI/EI on your book — grounded on live readings, this week's brief, and your desk note.
At Analyst+
Custom watchlist
Nation-states, sectors, or counterparties scoped to your mandate — scored on the same framework.
Quarterly Travis briefing
Direct framework walkthrough with Dr. Hanes — anchor briefings for investment committee prep.
Straight answers
Before you request pricing.
Is this legal advice or a legal opinion?
No. The Index is decision-support intelligence — structural stress classification with source discipline. It is not legal advice and does not replace outside counsel, sanctions list screening, or jurisdiction-specific legal research.
Can you predict case outcomes or liability?
No. We classify systemic stress and show sealed historical clocks. We do not publish dated forecasts of the next break or predict who wins a dispute.
What sealed backtests matter for counsel?
Argentina 2001 is the sovereign default Watch-class gate: gap Crisis seventeen months before the December 2001 corralito. Turkey 2018 is the dual FX lock seven months before the August 10 lira break. Full cases at /case-studies/argentina-2001 and /case-studies/turkey-2018.
How does Door B fit for deal counsel?
The Counsel / M&A diligence pack ($25K floor) delivers a fixed-format pre-deal artifact on a named target — not financial DD or a fairness opinion. See /talk?door=internal&mandate=legal or the Internal Audit specimen at /products/internal.
How is this different from insurance or investment-office mandates?
Same engine and physics. Legal scopes buyer language for sanctions counsel, sovereign disputes, and GC teams — matter-memo and partner-review framing, not underwriting or allocation language.
One instrument.
Six domains. Structural stress. Early-warning clocks. The physics do not change — only the entity you score. Built for legal & regulatory workflows.
A
License the World Index
From $50K/yr · firm
- Live scores and Watch/Act clocks
- Countries, corridors, sectors, and markets
- Ask AI/EI — instrument-grounded answers on live scores, briefs, and your desk note
- Alerts, desk briefings, named users included
Next step
Same Index. Counsel-grade evidence.
Put nations, corridors, and counterparties on a firm license — live scores, alerts, and committee-ready reports. Deal-tied? Start with the Counsel / M&A diligence pack. Get started — or book an intro to scope.