Structure
A structural score, not a price call
One deterministic read on corridor and producer-state stress — never a price target or disruption date.
Energy & commodities playbook
Score the chokepoint,
before the barrel reprices.
For energy and commodities trading, risk, and strategy — six-domain reads on producer states, transit corridors, and sanctions regimes. Ahead of the move, not after it.
Commodity desks price the headline.
Structural stress builds before it.
What it means for you
You price sanctions, chokepoint, and producer-state risk on structure — before the headline spikes the strip.
The payoff
What you leave with.
Lead
Lead time before the strip moves
Stress flagged weeks to months ahead of freight, insurance, or spot repricing.
Evidence
Evidence for the risk committee
Source-traced, evidence-tiered scoring your trading and risk desks can defend under review.
See it on a system that matters to energy & commodities— then Get started.
The gap
Your desk confirms disruption after it's visible
Sanctions trackers, tanker feeds, and country-risk scores confirm a strike, seizure, or announcement once it's on the tape. None score producer-state, corridor, or sanctions-regime stress before it reaches the front month.
Sanctions & tanker-tracking feeds
Confirm disruption in near-real time — after stress has already built.
Producer-state country risk scores
Annual or ad hoc ratings — not a live read on fiscal, political, and institutional bandwidth.
Chokepoint incident alerts
Event-driven and headline-timed — corridor stress was building well before the alert.
What the Index reads
The lenses that matter on your desk.
Same six-domain instrument. For energy & commodities, these are the reads that change the decision.
Body
Physical production, transit, and infrastructure — the hard constraint the strip eventually prices.
Perceived
Risk premium already priced vs. actual structural stress — where your edge lives.
Identity
Producer-state and coalition legitimacy — OPEC+ cohesion under stress before a quota break.
Adaptation
How much shock a producer state or corridor can absorb without disorderly disruption.
Courage
Political will to hold production, transit, or sanctions posture — depletion precedes the surprise cut or break.
In practice
Where it lands in your work.
01
Chokepoint and corridor monitoring
Live NII on Hormuz, Bab el-Mandeb, and custom corridors — cascade flags when cross-domain stress starts to propagate.
02
Producer-state fiscal and political stress
Score petrostate bandwidth — fiscal breakeven and institutional stress often move before OPEC+ decisions.
03
Sanctions-regime durability
Score a sanctions coalition's capacity to hold — or a sanctioned state's workaround capacity — as a structural system.
04
Trading and insurance desk narrative
Evidence-tiered corridor and producer-state briefings for risk committees, underwriters, and portfolio reviews.
How you run it
Trading and risk desk workflow
01
Define corridor and producer-state watchlist
Chokepoints, petrostates, and sanctions-regime systems — scored on the same instrument as sovereign systems.
02
Monitor cascade flags
Alerts when corridor or producer-state NII crosses a phase boundary or cross-domain propagation activates.
03
Weekly desk integration
Signal reports feed trading and risk standups — same framework across corridors and producer states.
04
Monthly flagship + Travis briefing
Board-ready profiles with evidence trace — quarterly walkthrough for desk heads.
Why trust it
Corridor stress before routes fail
On the Bab el-Mandeb corridor replay, Body scored 92/100 and Perceived Insecurity 96/100 four months before peak Red Sea disruption — while freight rates, insurance premiums, and the front-month strip were still lagging.
Live corridor and producer-state scoring today — same six-domain engine, priced for energy and commodities desks.
4
Months before Red Sea peak
92
Body (corridor) /100
96
Perceived (corridor) /100
Live
Corridor & producer-state profiles
Try it
Try a corridor or producer-state brief — see the stress score before the strip moves.
Pick a system you already watch. Get a structured brief — score, domains, phase, evidence — not a chat essay.
01
Strait of Hormuz energy corridor
near horizon
02
Sanctioned Russian crude flow network
near horizon
03
OPEC+ producer-state fiscal stress cohort
medium horizon
What ships
What lands on your desk.
Concrete deliverables for energy & commodities — not a content subscription.
Live readout
NII readings, six-domain breakdown, phase classification, and momentum — updated on calculation date.
Weekly signal reports
Regime classification, domain deterioration, and cross-entity stress — investment committee scannable.
Alert bulletins
Notifications when NII crosses phase boundaries or domain stress accelerates on watchlist entities.
Monthly flagship report
Full thermodynamic profile, narrative analysis, and evidence trace — board-ready PDF on calculation date.
Ask
Ask the Index on your book — grounded on live readings, this week's brief, and your desk note.
At Analyst+
Custom watchlist
Nation-states, sectors, or counterparties scoped to your mandate — scored on the same framework.
Quarterly Travis briefing
Direct framework walkthrough with Dr. Hanes — anchor briefings for investment committee prep.
Straight answers
Before you request pricing.
Do you predict oil or gas prices?
No. We classify structural stress in producer states, corridors, and sanctions regimes — not price levels or dated disruption forecasts.
Is this a replacement for tanker-tracking or sanctions-compliance tools?
No — it's upstream of them. Compliance and tracking confirm activity. The Index scores the stress that precedes it.
Can we get chokepoints not on your standard list?
Yes. Watchlist entities are configurable to any corridor, producer state, or sanctions-regime system on your book.
One instrument.
Two ways in.
License the live World Index for ongoing scores and Watch/Act on countries, corridors, sectors, and markets — or commission an Internal Index on your organization: regime, threat call, ninety-day plan, and Day-90 Checkpoint. Same physics; Internal Index is a sealed engagement, not a live watchlist. Get started — exact price after Approve. Built for energy & commodities workflows.
A
Firm license
Allocators
License the World Index
Family offices, funds, and allocator desks put the live World Index on a watchlist of countries, corridors, sectors, and markets — scores, Watch and Act clocks, alerts, and monthly reports on sealed physics while markets still read calm.
- Live scores and Watch/Act clocks
- Countries, corridors, sectors, and markets
- Ask EI — instrument-grounded answers on live scores, briefs, and your desk note
- Alerts, monthly reports, named users included
Next step
Put the chokepoint on the Index.
Live corridor and producer-state scores, cascade flags, and monthly reports on the systems that move the strip. Get started — or book an intro to scope.