The sealed claim

Watch and Act both lit dual Crisis by March 2008 — 6 months before Lehman.

That is the public clock under sealed V5-locked physics — not a marketing anecdote. The run is blind and period-correct: each month scored only on data available at the time, with no lookahead into Lehman or later prints.

What “dual” means here

Both Watch and Act lit dual Crisis — load and gap together — by March 2008. That is the Act capital clock as well as the earliest dual Watch fashion for this episode under Option A packaging.

How to use the case

Read the full interactive backtest for trajectory, domains, and methodology. Use it in the IC as proof of instrument behavior — not as a promise that every future break prints the same lead time.

We sell the instrument and that proof record. We do not sell a guarantee on the next named event.

Go deeper

The complete case study lives at /case-studies/2008.