Clarity
A number your IC can defend
One deterministic score per system — replayable, source-traced, ready for the room.
Family office playbook
For offices already paying for geo and macro risk — one deterministic score on the systems that matter to your book. Not another analyst note after the trade.
Macro desks price perception.
The Index measures structure.
What it means for you
You rebalance on a structural score months before the headline confirms it.
The payoff
Clarity
One deterministic score per system — replayable, source-traced, ready for the room.
Lead
Regime stress flagged months ahead of spread widening or rating action.
Evidence
Primary sources and evidence tiers — diligence-ready for LPs, boards, and regulators.
See it on a system that matters to family office— then Get started.
The gap
Country ratings, sell-side macro, and VIX measure perception or lagging stress. They miss Identity, Adaptation, and Courage deterioration building before it reprices into your book.
Geopolitical briefings
Event-driven narrative — useful context, not a score your IC can replay.
Risk premia models
Financial correlation without structure — miss regime boundaries until spreads widen.
Internal IC memos
Subjective synthesis — not comparable month-over-month or defensible under diligence.
What the Index reads
Same six-domain instrument. For family office, these are the reads that change the decision.
Identity
Sovereign and institutional legitimacy — where fragmentation shows before ratings move.
Perceived
Priced risk vs. structural insecurity — where allocators find their edge.
Adaptation
Policy and market bandwidth to absorb shocks — orderly vs. disorderly transition.
Courage
Political and institutional will to act — depletion precedes the 'unexpected' crisis.
Body
Balance sheets, credit, and real-economy fundamentals — what your dashboards already cover.
In practice
01
Sovereign and FX regime watch
Score countries and currency blocs on the same six domains. Alert when NII crosses Red or Crisis — months before conventional indicators confirm.
02
Allocator rebalancing window
Use phase trajectory and domain divergence to shift risk-on vs. defensive sleeves — without waiting for downgrades or headlines.
03
Counterparty and banking stress
Monitor financial-system stress alongside your credit work. Cascade flags surface cross-domain pressure before it hits the lending book.
04
Next-gen principal education
Evidence-tiered briefings for principals and IC members — same framework Travis uses in anchor sessions.
How you run it
01
Nation-states, currency areas, or macro systems aligned to your mandate — scored on calculation date.
02
Signal reports flag regime and domain deterioration. Alerts fire on phase boundaries.
03
Board-ready PDF plus quarterly walkthrough with Dr. Hanes for IC prep.
04
Rebalance, hedge, or hold with documented evidence — not after the market event.
Why trust it
The GFC validation backtest shows Force Adjusted Insecurity crossing Crisis in Mar 2008 — 6 months of lead time while conventional gauges still looked orderly. Deterministic scoring, primary-sourced evidence, reproducible method.
Built for allocator IC workflows — same engine, mandate-scoped watchlists and briefing cadence.
9
Months of lead time
35
Years of framework research
Multi-source
Source-traceable inputs
6
Thermodynamic domains
Try it
Pick a system you already watch. Get a structured brief — score, domains, phase, evidence — not a chat essay.
01
Global financial system regime
medium horizon
02
US dollar and Treasury stress
structural horizon
03
European banking sector entropy
medium horizon
What ships
Concrete deliverables for family office — not a content subscription.
Live readout
NII readings, six-domain breakdown, phase classification, and momentum — updated on calculation date.
Weekly signal reports
Regime classification, domain deterioration, and cross-entity stress — investment committee scannable.
Alert bulletins
Notifications when NII crosses phase boundaries or domain stress accelerates on watchlist entities.
Monthly flagship report
Full thermodynamic profile, narrative analysis, and evidence trace — board-ready PDF on calculation date.
Ask
Ask the Index on your book — grounded on live readings, this week's brief, and your desk note.
At Analyst+
Custom watchlist
Nation-states, sectors, or counterparties scoped to your mandate — scored on the same framework.
Quarterly Travis briefing
Direct framework walkthrough with Dr. Hanes — anchor briefings for investment committee prep.
Straight answers
How is this different from our geopolitical subscription?
Geo services describe events and scenarios. The Index scores six domains and classifies regime stress — with numbers you can replay and audit.
What is the minimum engagement?
Annual institutional partnerships scoped to your watchlist and cadence. Onboarding includes watchlist scoping and a Travis anchor briefing — pricing discussed on briefing.
Do you predict specific events?
No. We classify regime conditions and domain stress — not dated event forecasts. Narrative guardrails ship with every deliverable.
License the live World Index for ongoing scores and Watch/Act on countries, corridors, sectors, and markets — or commission an Internal Index on your organization: regime, threat call, ninety-day plan, and Day-90 Checkpoint. Same physics; Internal Index is a sealed engagement, not a live watchlist. Get started — exact price after Approve. Built for family office workflows.
A
Firm license
Allocators
Family offices, funds, and allocator desks put the live World Index on a watchlist of countries, corridors, sectors, and markets — scores, Watch and Act clocks, alerts, and monthly reports on sealed physics while markets still read calm.
Next step
Live scores, alerts, and IC-ready reports on your watchlist. Named users included. Get started — or book an intro to scope.