Family office playbook

Rebalance on structure,
before spreads confirm it.

For offices already paying for geo and macro risk — one deterministic score on the systems that matter to your book. Not another analyst note after the trade.

Macro desks price perception.

The Index measures structure.

What it means for you

You rebalance on a structural score months before the headline confirms it.

The payoff

What you leave with.

Clarity

A number your IC can defend

One deterministic score per system — replayable, source-traced, ready for the room.

Lead

Time to rebalance before the reprice

Regime stress flagged months ahead of spread widening or rating action.

Evidence

An audit trail for every call

Primary sources and evidence tiers — diligence-ready for LPs, boards, and regulators.

See it on a system that matters to family office— then Get started.

The gap

Your IC sees priced risk, not the stress underneath

Country ratings, sell-side macro, and VIX measure perception or lagging stress. They miss Identity, Adaptation, and Courage deterioration building before it reprices into your book.

Geopolitical briefings

Event-driven narrative — useful context, not a score your IC can replay.

Risk premia models

Financial correlation without structure — miss regime boundaries until spreads widen.

Internal IC memos

Subjective synthesis — not comparable month-over-month or defensible under diligence.

What the Index reads

The lenses that matter on your desk.

Same six-domain instrument. For family office, these are the reads that change the decision.

Identity

Sovereign and institutional legitimacy — where fragmentation shows before ratings move.

Perceived

Priced risk vs. structural insecurity — where allocators find their edge.

Adaptation

Policy and market bandwidth to absorb shocks — orderly vs. disorderly transition.

Courage

Political and institutional will to act — depletion precedes the 'unexpected' crisis.

Body

Balance sheets, credit, and real-economy fundamentals — what your dashboards already cover.

In practice

Where it lands in your work.

01

Sovereign and FX regime watch

Score countries and currency blocs on the same six domains. Alert when NII crosses Red or Crisis — months before conventional indicators confirm.

02

Allocator rebalancing window

Use phase trajectory and domain divergence to shift risk-on vs. defensive sleeves — without waiting for downgrades or headlines.

03

Counterparty and banking stress

Monitor financial-system stress alongside your credit work. Cascade flags surface cross-domain pressure before it hits the lending book.

04

Next-gen principal education

Evidence-tiered briefings for principals and IC members — same framework Travis uses in anchor sessions.

How you run it

Allocator workflow

01

Scope watchlist entities

Nation-states, currency areas, or macro systems aligned to your mandate — scored on calculation date.

02

Weekly IC scan

Signal reports flag regime and domain deterioration. Alerts fire on phase boundaries.

03

Monthly flagship + Travis briefing

Board-ready PDF plus quarterly walkthrough with Dr. Hanes for IC prep.

04

Act on lead time

Rebalance, hedge, or hold with documented evidence — not after the market event.

Why trust it

Backtested lead time

The GFC validation backtest shows Force Adjusted Insecurity crossing Crisis in Mar 2008 — 6 months of lead time while conventional gauges still looked orderly. Deterministic scoring, primary-sourced evidence, reproducible method.

Built for allocator IC workflows — same engine, mandate-scoped watchlists and briefing cadence.

9

Months of lead time

35

Years of framework research

Multi-source

Source-traceable inputs

6

Thermodynamic domains

View the backtest

Try it

Try a brief on a sovereign or macro system — see the score your IC would use in the room.

Pick a system you already watch. Get a structured brief — score, domains, phase, evidence — not a chat essay.

01

Global financial system regime

medium horizon

02

US dollar and Treasury stress

structural horizon

03

European banking sector entropy

medium horizon

What ships

What lands on your desk.

Concrete deliverables for family office — not a content subscription.

Live readout

NII readings, six-domain breakdown, phase classification, and momentum — updated on calculation date.

Weekly signal reports

Regime classification, domain deterioration, and cross-entity stress — investment committee scannable.

Alert bulletins

Notifications when NII crosses phase boundaries or domain stress accelerates on watchlist entities.

Monthly flagship report

Full thermodynamic profile, narrative analysis, and evidence trace — board-ready PDF on calculation date.

Ask

Ask the Index on your book — grounded on live readings, this week's brief, and your desk note.

At Analyst+

Custom watchlist

Nation-states, sectors, or counterparties scoped to your mandate — scored on the same framework.

Quarterly Travis briefing

Direct framework walkthrough with Dr. Hanes — anchor briefings for investment committee prep.

Straight answers

Before you request pricing.

How is this different from our geopolitical subscription?

Geo services describe events and scenarios. The Index scores six domains and classifies regime stress — with numbers you can replay and audit.

What is the minimum engagement?

Annual institutional partnerships scoped to your watchlist and cadence. Onboarding includes watchlist scoping and a Travis anchor briefing — pricing discussed on briefing.

Do you predict specific events?

No. We classify regime conditions and domain stress — not dated event forecasts. Narrative guardrails ship with every deliverable.

One instrument.
Two ways in.

License the live World Index for ongoing scores and Watch/Act on countries, corridors, sectors, and markets — or commission an Internal Index on your organization: regime, threat call, ninety-day plan, and Day-90 Checkpoint. Same physics; Internal Index is a sealed engagement, not a live watchlist. Get started — exact price after Approve. Built for family office workflows.

A

Firm license

Allocators

License the World Index

Family offices, funds, and allocator desks put the live World Index on a watchlist of countries, corridors, sectors, and markets — scores, Watch and Act clocks, alerts, and monthly reports on sealed physics while markets still read calm.

  • Live scores and Watch/Act clocks
  • Countries, corridors, sectors, and markets
  • Ask EI — instrument-grounded answers on live scores, briefs, and your desk note
  • Alerts, monthly reports, named users included

Next step

Put the office on the Index.

Live scores, alerts, and IC-ready reports on your watchlist. Named users included. Get started — or book an intro to scope.

Get started