Clarity
A number your IC can defend
One deterministic score per system — replayable, source-traced, ready for the room.
Family office playbook
Rebalance on structure,
before spreads confirm it.
For offices already paying for geo and macro risk — one deterministic score on the systems that matter to your book. Not another analyst note after the trade.
Macro desks price perception.
The Index measures structure.
Same inputs, same output. Zero AI touching the engine — it never scores.
What it means for you
You rebalance on a structural score months before the headline confirms it.
Open the public desk noteThe payoff
What you leave with.
Lead
Time to rebalance before the reprice
Structural stress flagged months ahead of spread widening or rating action.
Evidence
An audit trail for every call
Primary sources and evidence tiers — diligence-ready for LPs, boards, and regulators.
See it on a system that matters to family office— then Book an intro.
The gap
Your IC sees priced risk, not the stress underneath
Country ratings, sell-side macro, and VIX measure perception or lagging stress. They miss Identity, Adaptation, and Courage deterioration building before it reprices into your book.
Geopolitical briefings
Event-driven narrative — useful context, not a score your IC can replay.
Risk premia models
Financial correlation without structure — miss stress building until spreads widen.
Internal IC memos
Subjective synthesis — not comparable month-over-month or defensible under diligence.
What the Index reads
The lenses that matter on your desk.
Same six-domain instrument. For family office, these are the reads that change the decision.
Identity
Sovereign and institutional legitimacy — where fragmentation shows before ratings move.
Perceived
Priced risk vs. structural insecurity — where allocators find their edge.
Adaptation
Policy and market bandwidth to absorb shocks — orderly vs. disorderly transition.
Courage
Political and institutional will to act — depletion precedes the 'unexpected' crisis.
Body
Balance sheets, credit, and real-economy fundamentals — what your dashboards already cover.
In practice
Where it lands in your work.
01
Sovereign and FX stress watch
Score countries and currency blocs on the same six domains. Alert when NII crosses Red or Crisis — months before conventional indicators confirm.
02
Allocator rebalancing window
Use phase trajectory and domain divergence to shift risk-on vs. defensive sleeves — without waiting for downgrades or headlines.
03
Counterparty and banking stress
Monitor financial-system stress alongside your credit work. Cascade flags surface cross-domain pressure before it hits the lending book.
04
Operating company under handoff
When the family's operating asset is the risk the portfolio cannot hedge — Internal Audit on the opco (Adaptation under load), World Index on the macro book. Job-first scope on /packs; not estate or succession planning.
05
Next-gen principal education
Evidence-tiered briefings for principals and IC members — same framework Travis uses in anchor sessions.
How you run it
Allocator workflow
01
Scope watchlist entities
Nation-states, currency areas, or macro systems aligned to your mandate — scored on calculation date.
02
Weekly IC scan
Weekly signals flag structural deterioration across domains. Alerts fire when stress crosses a band boundary.
03
Monthly flagship + Travis briefing
Board-ready PDF plus quarterly walkthrough with Dr. Hanes for IC prep.
04
Act on lead time
Rebalance, hedge, or hold with documented evidence — not after the market event.
Why trust it
Backtested lead time
The GFC validation backtest shows amplified stress in Crisis by Mar 2008 — 6 months before Lehman while VIX and credit spreads still looked orderly. Deterministic scoring, primary-sourced evidence, reproducible method.
Built for allocator IC workflows — same engine, mandate-scoped watchlists and briefing cadence.
6
Months before Lehman
35
Years of framework research
Multi-source
Source-traceable inputs
6
Thermodynamic domains
Try it
Try a brief on a sovereign or macro system — see the score your IC would use in the room.
Pick a system you already watch. Get a structured brief — score, domains, phase, evidence — not a chat essay.
01
Global financial system stress
medium horizon
02
US dollar and Treasury stress
structural horizon
03
European banking sector entropy
medium horizon
What ships
What lands on your desk.
Concrete deliverables for family office — not a content subscription.
Live readout
NII readings, six-domain breakdown, phase classification, and momentum — updated on calculation date.
Weekly signal reports
Regime classification, domain deterioration, and cross-entity stress — investment committee scannable.
Alert bulletins
Notifications when NII crosses phase boundaries or domain stress accelerates on watchlist entities.
Monthly flagship report
Full thermodynamic profile, narrative analysis, and evidence trace — board-ready PDF on calculation date.
Ask
Ask AI/EI on your book — grounded on live readings, this week's brief, and your desk note.
At Analyst+
Custom watchlist
Nation-states, sectors, or counterparties scoped to your mandate — scored on the same framework.
Quarterly Travis briefing
Direct framework walkthrough with Dr. Hanes — anchor briefings for investment committee prep.
Straight answers
Before you request pricing.
How is this different from our geopolitical subscription?
Geo services describe events and scenarios. The Index scores six domains and classifies structural stress — with numbers you can replay and audit.
What is the minimum engagement?
Annual institutional partnerships scoped to your watchlist and cadence. Onboarding includes watchlist scoping and a Travis anchor briefing — pricing discussed on briefing.
Do you predict specific events?
No. We classify structural stress in six domains — not dated event forecasts. Narrative guardrails ship with every deliverable.
One instrument.
Six domains. Structural stress. Early-warning clocks. The physics do not change — only the entity you score. Built for family office workflows.
A
License the World Index
From $50K/yr · firm
- Live scores and Watch/Act clocks
- Countries, corridors, sectors, and markets
- Ask AI/EI — instrument-grounded answers on live scores, briefs, and your desk note
- Alerts, desk briefings, named users included
Next step
Put the office on the Index.
Live scores, alerts, and IC-ready reports on your watchlist. Named users included. Get started — or book an intro to scope.