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GFC 2008: banner proof

Entropy Index sealed its banner backtest on Aug. 6: Watch and Act both lit dual Crisis by March 2008 — 6 months before Lehman. That reconstruction is point-in-time — not a promise the next break rhymes on the same calendar.

What we will claim

Watch and Act both lit dual Crisis by March 2008 — 6 months before Lehman.

That is the public sales floor on the GFC sealed reconstruction. Markets still looked orderly when the Index registered Crisis.

What we will not claim

  • We will not promise the next break rhymes on the same calendar.
  • We will not retune the freeze to manufacture lead versus headlines.
  • We will not sell Act as a return.

Data in. Score out — no AI in the number.

Full case

Read the 2008 case study · V5-lock note · White paper.

Q&A

Is this a live prediction?
No. These are sealed historical reconstructions under V5-lock — proof objects, not forward calls.
Does AI write the score?
Scoring is deterministic under sealed physics. AI structures evidence into that formula and can read the face. It does not write the number.
Where is the full reconstruction?
The case study at /case-studies/2008 carries the sealed clocks and methodology disclosure.
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