GFC 2008: banner proof

Entropy Index sealed its banner backtest on Aug. 6: Watch and Act both lit dual Crisis by March 2008 — 6 months before Lehman. That reconstruction is point-in-time — not a promise the next break rhymes on the same calendar.

What we will claim

Watch and Act both lit dual Crisis by March 2008 — 6 months before Lehman.

That is the public sales floor on the GFC sealed reconstruction. Markets still looked orderly when the Index registered Crisis.

What we will not claim

  • We will not promise the next break rhymes on the same calendar.
  • We will not retune the freeze to manufacture lead versus headlines.
  • We will not sell Act as a return.

Data in. Score out — zero AI touching the engine.

Full case

Read the 2008 case study · V5-lock note · White paper.

Q&A

Is this a live prediction?
No. These are sealed historical reconstructions under V5-lock — proof objects, not forward calls.
Does AI write the score?
One sealed formula on the live Index and every backtest — formulaic result, not narrative. Scoring is deterministic under sealed physics. Zero AI touching the engine: AI may structure evidence and read the face; it does not write the number.
Where is the full reconstruction?
The case study at /case-studies/2008 carries the sealed clocks and methodology disclosure.

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