What locked
Headlines and conventional gauges still looked calm while structure was already under stress. On the sealed Argentina 2001 PRI replay, the entropy gap crossed Crisis in July 2000 — seventeen months before the December 2001 corralito and sovereign default. Load + gap both elevated before the break is not claimed — disclosed, not retuned. Early-stress tier for underwriting escalation.
_V5-locked PIT ledger — curated FRED/OECD Body (reserves/FX/M2/imports) + policy-stress and TIC Mind + UTDT ICC Perceived + V-Dem Identity + BIS Adaptation. WEO void pre-2009; ALFRED void pre-2011. Same physics as GFC. Gate gap_crisis_on_or_before_break._
What we will not claim
- This is structural classification — not a dated forecast, not an allocation signal, not a return claim.
- Scoring is deterministic under sealed physics. AI structures evidence into that formula and can read the face. It does not write the number.
Data in. Score out — no AI in the number.
Full sealed case
View Argentina 2001 sealed case · V5-lock note · Insurance & PRI desk playbook.