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Sealed proof for Macro & Geo: Lead time before the break

Lead time before the break — The GFC backtest shows amplified stress in Crisis by Mar 2008 — 6 months before Lehman while conventional macro and geo gauges still read orderly.

What locked

The GFC backtest shows amplified stress in Crisis by Mar 2008 — 6 months before Lehman while conventional macro and geo gauges still read orderly. Same engine on sovereign and regional systems for your desk today.

_Built for global macro and geo desks — sovereign, currency, and regional scoring on one shared instrument._

What we will not claim

  • No. We classify structural stress in six domains — not dated event forecasts. Narrative guardrails ship with every deliverable.

Data in. Score out — no AI in the number.

Full sealed case

View the backtest · V5-lock note · Macro & Geo desk playbook.

Q&A

Is this a live prediction?
No. Sealed historical reconstruction under V5-lock — proof object, not a forward call.
Does AI write the score?
Scoring is deterministic under sealed physics. AI structures evidence into that formula and can read the face. It does not write the number.
Do you predict specific geopolitical events?
No. We classify structural stress in six domains — not dated event forecasts. Narrative guardrails ship with every deliverable.
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